Friday, December 31, 2021

Sen. John Kennedy: Biden Administration “Lies Like They Breathe” (Video)

Re-posted by N.S.

More on the Mass Shooting at a Garland, Texas, Gas Station

By A Texas Reader
Fri, Dec 31, 2021 4:02 p.m.

Ivan lived with his mother, brothers, grandmother and two uncles. Rafael, the older shooting victim, also lived with the family, said Ivan’s uncle Luciano Macedonio. Rafael’s funeral is scheduled for Wednesday.

You might be a wetback...

If 12 of you are crammed into a 2-bedroom house in old Garland, Texas.

MUST WATCH: Dr. Robert Malone Drops BOMBSHELLS During Much-Anticipated Interview with Joe Rogan – Says Federal Government is “Lawless”

By R.C.
Fri, Dec 31, 2021 11:25 p.m.

The Home Where Betty White Spent Her Final Years

By N.S.

Of course, the content providers have to promote feminist talking points: She was a “pioneer,” a “trailblazer.”

Realtors Remove Crime Heat Maps – Watch

By R.C.
Fri, Dec 31, 2021 10:42 p.m.

Realtors Remove Crime Heat Maps – Watch

Is this a redlining measure?

Or anti-redlining?

Or totally farcical, as one measure of crime comes from K-12 school quality information and parenting resources

R.C.: School rankings are a good proxy for crime of all sorts.

N.S.: The problem with that is that in many middle- and even upper-middle-class areas, although White homeowners pay a fortune in property taxes to maintain the local public schools, they can't send their own children to said schools, and must pay twice, because educrats have filled the public schools with racist, black thugs.


More on the black suspect in the Murder of One White Cop, and Wounding of a Second, in Bradley, Illinois

War crime victim, Sgt. Marlene Rittmanic, Bradley IL PD

The shooter also wounded Officer Tyler Bailey, Sgt. Rittmanic’s partner, putting him in critical condition

“black man with Extremely Loud, Barking Dogs Allegedly Shot Two Cops, Killing One, at Illinois Hotel.”]

By David in TN
Fri, Dec 31, 2021 5:37 p.m.

Suspect Arrested in Shooting that Killed One Bradley Police Officer, Wounded Another

Darius Sullivan has been arrested. A second suspect is still at large. [Update: The second suspect turned herself in, claiming to be innocent. They're all innocent.]

By Anonymous
Friday, December 31, 2021 at 11:05:00 A.M. EST

Barking dogs? Barking dogs? The media will only say that the shootings occurred. Not that it occurred for such an absurd reason as the police telling a bad guy to stop his barking dogs. I bet guard dogs at a stash house.

By Grand Rapids Anonymous
Friday, December 31, 2021 at 11:12:00 A.M. EST

Darius should be executed ASAP.

By someone—anyone.


By Grand Rapids Anonymous
Friday, December 31, 2021 at 12:22:00 P.M. EST

According to wbbm radio, Chicago—“arrests have been made of both thugs wanted.”


Suspected war criminal, Darius Sullivan

Suspected war criminal, Xandria Harris

Did They Jinx Her? Game Show Icon, Comedy Actress, Betty White Dies at 99, but She Won HER Game of Craps

[“Is the Universe a Crap Shoot?”]

By Grand Rapids Anonymous
Friday, December 31, 2021 at 8:05:00 P.M. EST

GRA: The last two weeks, all I saw on the covers of the ragmags at the supermarket were these: “Happy 100th Birthday, Betty!” “Betty White’s Centennial Celebration.”

They jinxed her.

Obviously, though, Betty White won HER game of craps.

A fast talking, game show hall of famer, Ms.White also made time for The Mary Tyler Moore Show, Golden Girls, and Hot in Cleveland—along with innumerable guest shots on everything from The Carol Burnett Show to The Tonight Show with Johnny Carson.

All these years, I thought the only person she was married to was Allen Ludden (Password), but no—he was her third marriage—and last. He died in the mid 1980s.

Another White-y bites the dust.


Notorious, Tenured black supremacist Nikki Giovanni Condemns White American Hero Kyle Rittenouse

By N.S.

black man with Extremely Loud, Barking Dogs Allegedly Shot Two Cops, Killing One, at Illinois Hotel

War crime victim, Sgt. Marlene Rittmanic

By N.S.

Illinois Cop Killed, Second Injured in Hotel Shooting

Suspected war criminal, Darius D. Sullivan

Some Minneapolis Arsonists, Looters, and Rioters are Doing Time—Three, to be Exact

By An Old Friend

From a PowerLine entry …

.. about the post-Floyd disaster that’s Minneapolis, this comment:

Miguel • 13 hours ago

“The problem with all this crime isn’t the nonsensical notion of ‘systemic racism,’ but rather the fact that inner city blacks, and blacks in general, have been coddled in this country for decades. They now believe that they are exempt from the rules of a civilized society. Almost without exception, these police brutality issues with blacks have been because blacks do not feel they need to obey the lawful commands of police officers. From St. Floyd, to hands up don’t shoot, to the smokes vendor in NCY [NYC], these people don’t feel that laws apply to them. Now, this same attitude has spread to the spoiled brats of white liberals. They also feel blacks don’t need to obey the rules of a civilized society. They also believe that if they act in support of these perpetual victims, then they are exempt from civilization’s rules. The liberal parents of these spoiled brats believe that since blacks commit most crime in America, and because all of their nonsensical social engineering policies over the past 60 years have failed, the solution now is to simply pretend that crime does not exist. black crime is a racist notion of Trump supporters.

The solution to this rapidly spreading criminal activity is to come down real hard on the perps. Real hard. And build more prisons. And keep the criminals in prison a long, long time. In fact, make these privately run prisons.

AOF: One hopes Whites are getting thoroughly sick of the lethal nonsense.

N.S.: Whites have been sick of it for years. The problem is, they need candidates for whom they can vote, in the knowledge that they’ll do what Miguel called for.

They voted for Trump, and he let black drug kingpins out of prison even earlier than they were supposed to be. He responded to the burning and looting of American cities with threats of sending in the National Guard, but did nothing.

Thursday, December 30, 2021

Diamond and Tionda Bradley

“New msnbc Show to Expose Colored Killers.” By Anonymous Thursday, December 30, 2021 at 5:31:00 A.M. EST The Bradley girls. Diamond and Tionda. Exhaustive search for years and not one thing. It is not like the cops do not search or care. The “community” or the famblee often just refuse to cooperate. They need [?] a Shaft-like dude detective to solve these crimes or find the missing persons.

Two affirmative action, nycpd cops were Sort-of, Kind-of, Maybe Punished for Walking Away from Shooting in Brooklyn

[“Tessa Majors and Davide Giri were Victims, Not Only of black supremacism, but also of Extreme Negligence, on the Part of Columbia University Officials.”]

By Eahilf
Thursday, December 30, 2021 at 9:38:00 A.M. EST

Two nypd cops Punished for Walking Away from Shooting in Brooklyn

“The officers, Waqar Zafar and Sergio Garcia-Castillo, ...”

Federal Prosecutors Issue Free Crimes to Jeffrey Epstein’s black Prison Guards

“Michael Thomas and Tova Noel were supposed to check on Epstein every 30 minutes the night he committed suicide, but shopped online and took breaks instead.” N.S.: And falsified federal records, by asserting that they had done their job.

Federal Prosecutors End Criminal Case against Jeffrey Epstein’s Prison Guards

nation of islam Mayor-Elect Eric Adams Continues with Racial Purge of nypd; Second Generation affirmative action hire Will be #2

Edward Caban: His father, Juan, was the head of the hispanic racial spoils group, the hispanic society

By N.S.

“nypd Commissioner [sic] Keechant Sewell has picked a 30-year NYPD veteran to be the No. 2 person in the department, sources told the post.

“Edward Caban will be named the new first deputy commissioner for the largest police force in the nation and will be the highest-ranking Hispanic member of the department, sources said.”

Whatever happened to the Chief of Department being the nypd’s #2?

Oh, and “nypd Commissioner Keechant Sewell” is factually incorrect, Larry Celona and Mark Lungariello. Sewell doesn’t become nypd commissioner until after the noi’s Eric Adams gets sworn in on New Year’s Day. At present, the nypd commissioner is, for better or worse, Dermot Shea.

noi mayor-elect Eric Adams introduced nycpd commissioner-in-waiting Keechant Sewell “with a mural of Malcolm X, Nat Turner, Angela Davis, and cop-killer [Joanne Chesimard] Assata Shakur in the background.”

Keechant Sewell was named pc-in-waiting by noi mayor Eric Adams, not in spite of, but because she is laughably unqualified for the job. She will go from supervising 331 cops as nassau county pd chief of detectives, to being in charge of over 35,000 nycpd cops. Until recently, big-city pols would at least go through the motions, regarding qualifications in the age of diversity, hiring someone who had run the police department of a smaller city. Then again, Keechant Sewell wasn’t hired to be a crimebuster. Just the opposite; she will be an advocate for colored criminals. And like Mona Nelson, Sewell may well be a triple affirmative action client: black, female and, the post has insinuated, a lesbian. The daily underscored that she has no children, boyfriend, or present or past husband.

“nypd commissioner Names 30-Year Veteran and Bronx Native to Deputy Post

The real nycpd commissioner?

Gotta Represent! Houston Finishes 2021 with the Most Homicides the City Has Seen in Decades

By A Texas Reader
Thu, Dec 30, 2021 8:03 p.m.

Houston finishes 2021 with the most homicides the city has seen in decades Homicides were up 71% in 2021 compared to 2019.

Affirmative Action Criminal Justice: Colorado Gov. Jared Polis Reduced the Sentence for Rogel Aguilera-Mederos, the Houston Truck Driver Who Killed 4 through His Reckless Driving, by 100 Years

By R.C.
Thu, Dec 30, 2021 8:00 p.m.

DENVER — Colorado Gov. Jared Polis reduced the sentence for Rogel Aguilera-Mederos, the Houston truck driver who was convicted in the 2019 I-70 crash that killed four people. Polis used his power to change that sentence after Aguilera-Mederos applied for clemency. The governor reduced Aguilera-Mederos' sentence to 10 years.

Be Careful What You Wish for

By N.S.

I was hoping that Ron Unz would re-publish my newest VDARE report, on the White Genocide Project. And Ron gave me what I wanted...good and hard!

(Steve Sailer’s crew, some of whom made supportive comments, is much more like mine.)

To the one or two people left on the planet who don’t know what the foregoing meant, I’d call the typical Unzler a Nazi, only it might be unfair to Nazis. I’m not just talking genocidal anti-Semitism here, but S-T-U-P-I-D. Or, as The Boss would say, “Dumb as my big toe.”

Take a gander.

JerseyJeffersonian called Ike a “vengeful Republican Yankee.” Eisenhower, who was born in Denison, Texas, and raised in Abilene, Kansas!

Mulga Mumblebrain says:
December 26, 2021 at 10:17 p.m. GMT
@Haxo Angmark

“The far more historic Soviet and Chinese nations saved civilization in WW2. The Septics [N.S.: Jews?] enjoyed a couple of side-shows, and have been boasting of it, with INCREASING delusion and histrionics, ever since.

Che Guava says:
December 26, 2021 at 2:57 p.m. GMT

So much is wrong with this long article.

Curtis Lemay was a brutal mass-murderer, likely in the top ten of all time as for individual and personal responsibility.

I know enough history to know that Lindbergh was truly against war, and pro-your nation, so

GIs and so on did not save civilisation in Europe, I have read anecdotes and references in history and literature on how more civilised the Germans were than the invaders from the coast. Unshaven and ill-disciplined troops, in the case of the U.S.A.

The heavy lifting and suffering had all been done already by mainly Russian forces from the U.S.S.R.

On a longer timeline, continued occupation of so many places after more than seventy years, and the U.S.A. having become totally controlled by the zio-empire in the meantime, is really destroying civilation in all of those places.

I can see that U.S.A. had its good points, Lemay is certainly not one. At least in Japan, we have several small memorials against the inhuman bombing raids, not just in Hiroshima and Nagasaki.

I read that the few similar sites in Germany have been destroyed, at the behest of the same people who ran the extermination of several million Germans, after the latter had been defeated.

You may like the idea that Eisenhauer was one of your better presidents, in some ways I understand it, but he too was a major war criminal, facilitating the murder of at least several hundreds of thousands of German soldiers after hostilities were over, except the new hostilities he wanted, of course, all on helpless Ps.o.W.

Supreme Allied Commander for Europe, what a joke, that was Marshal Zhukov and his comrades.

Could say more, but supposing that is enough for now.

Che Guava says:
December 27, 2021 at 1:39 pm GMT • 3.5 days ago
@Nicholas Stix


Imteresting that you take such a cheap
shot. LOL.

Alright, a bunch of total slobs with weapons.

More to the point, was Lemay anyone to admire?

Why is Lindberg missing from your list?

Why Eisenhauer and not Patton? Aside from the post-war war crimes against demobilised and surrendered Axis soldiers (I doubt they would all have been German, some Hungarian, Romanian, Bulgarian, and others), hundreds of thousands. Nice man, Ike.

He was also involved in the sending of all U.S.S.R. Ps.o.W., and all free former U.S.S.R. citizens who weren’t Jewish back to spend time in the Gulags at best.

When I say I think Eisenhauer was a relatively good president for your dying nation state, I only mean it from a perspective of international relations, and that he seems to have been interested in prosperity for working-class people and small businesses.

If I were to adopt the viewpoint of an American, however, or of, say, a V-Dare American in particular, I would have to see that he used armed state force to destroy your right to free assembly and to start the destruction of your state school systems.

anon[287] • Disclaimer says:
December 27, 2021 at 6:51 p.m. GMT
@Nicholas Stix

as a jew it is in your DNA to say US saved the world. no. the US saved the communists and the jews but I repeat myself.after WWII the jews took total control over the west

News on the War Crime Murder of Five-Year-Old White Boy, Cannon Hinnant, and on the msm Accessories Before and After the Fact

War crime victim, Cannon Hinnant

[“Remembering Cannon Hinnant, a Little Boy Whose black Neighbor Slaughtered Him, Just Because He was White; a Park Has been Named for the Victim.”]

By David in TN
Thursday, December 30, 2021 at 5:09:00 P.M. EST

I do a google search every two weeks or so, to see if there is any news on Cannon Hinnant and other black-on-White murders, given the news blackout treatment.

Two days ago, a North Carolina Grand Jury indicted Darius Sessoms for the murder of five-year-old Cannon Hinnant. It only took nearly a year-and-a-half. There were only a handful of news stories.

War crime defendant, Darius Sessoms

Is the Universe a Crap Shoot?

By A Longtime Contributor

Happy holidays to you, too, but I guess you don’t celebrate Christmas. We are not religious, but I recommend you read Signature in the Cell by Stephen Meyer. I was raised as an atheist and a believer in Darwinian evolution by means to natural selection of random mutations.

After reading Signature in the Cell, I was absolutely convinced that evolution by random mutation is mathematically impossible. The universe has not existed nearly long enough for mere chance to create what exists—it is far above my level, but the book is incredible. I don’t pretend to know what is out there, but it looks like some kind of intelligence made things happen.

N.S.: Actually, we do celebrate Christmas, but not in a religious sense. An American Christmas, from the Golden Age of America’s civil religion of pluralism (circa 1940-1970), like out of a Frank Capra movie.

New msnbc Show to Expose Colored Killers

N.S. replying to @msnbc

The last thing you want to do is "raise awareness of ... missing people of color," because then you'll learn that many of them were murdered... by killers "of color."

Get a Load of This News Hoax by the Daily Beast's Rachel Olding!

Re-posted by N.S.

Thank you, Mr. Ngo!

Gas Cost How Much?! (Photo)

Re-posted by Nicholas Stix

Tessa Majors and Davide Giri were Victims, Not Only of black supremacism, but also of Extreme Negligence, on the Part of Columbia University Officials

[“Columbia to Bolster Security Following Fatal Stabbing, Non-black Student Outrage; but What Will the black supremacist ‘students’ Say?”]

By Eahilf
Saturday, December 4, 2021 at 7:23:00 P.M. EST

These college administrators are not serious people:

“Barnard Missed Months of Crime Briefings before Tessa Majors’ Murder.”

They could and should have “bolstered” security after the Tessa Majors killing – wasn’t that enough?

Wednesday, December 29, 2021

White Bodybuilder Arrested for Shooting His Parents on Christmas Day: It was All Due to a Child Custody Conflict!

CDC Director Confesses: Many Children Hospitalized with Covid-19 are Admitted for Another Reason

More Vaxx=More Infections

By Jesse Mossman
Tue, Dec 28, 2021 8:39 p.m.

More Vaxx=More Infections

Art Moore at WND writes: "A study by Danish researchers finds that after 90 days, the COVID-19 vaccines will make you more likely to get infected from omicron, not less."

And, "The study shows that after three months, the effectiveness of the Pfizer-BioNTech and Moderna mRNA vaccines against omicron is actually negative.

The Pfizer vaccine makes recipients 76.5% more likely and the Moderna recipients 39.3% more likely to be infected than unvaccinated people."

In addition, "Last week, the new york times reported scientists were warning that a plan by the Israeli government to recommend a fourth vaccine dose to address signs of waning immunity a few months after the third shot could backfire.

The scientists said, in the times' words, that 'too many shots might cause a sort of immune system fatigue, compromising the body's ability to fight the coronavirus.'"
Will this bring any sanity to government and health agency advice and orders? I doubt it. With rising case rates, they no doubt will double down on all the things which haven't worked: masks, lockdowns, and killer so-called "vaccines."
Dr. Sucharit Bhakdi explains how in 90% of autopsies of those who died after being vaccinated, evidence of autoimmune attacks on the internal organs were found. He also explains how the vax's destruction of the immune system will cause vaxxed people to be vulnerable to many other diseases including tuberculosis and cancer.
An indication that Dr. Bhakdi is correct can be seen in the occurrence of shingles in vaxxed people. The virus is already present in many people, but emerges to cause shingles when the vax weakens their immune system. I personally know of a fairly young man who suffered from shingles after being vaxxed. Who knows what other diseases will emerge? Many Indians carry tuberculosis in their bodies which emerges later. I knew an old man whom doctors say must have been exposed to tuberculosis while serving in India in WWII. It wasn't until many decades later as he grew old and weak that it emerged and he developed the disease.
At this point, estimates of how many people the vax had killed vary from as little as 50,000 to 400,000. And these estimates are only for the short-term--it will be years until the long-term devastation emerges--and of course the vaxinazis will again claim "coincidence" and that the deaths and diseases have nothing to do with injecting substances which cause the body to inflammatory spike proteins.
In the meantime, I predict the vaxxed will experience much disease this winter--whether from Covid, flu, or other infectious diseases. I think our only hope is that the rapid spread of the milder Omicron variety of Covid will not kill, but rather impart natural immunity.

Spite and Rage and Vengeance Give Way to Economic Necessity: Managers Who Fired Unvaccinated Workers are Suddenly Begging Them to Return

By N.S.

Unvaccinated Workers Who were Fired Now Suddenly being Begged to Return

"They fired hundreds out of spite and rage and vengeance, but forgot they actually need them."

There's Good News, and Bad News: The Good News: A "California Man" Planned on Going to D.C., and Doing the Right Thing; the Bad News: The Cops Caught Him First

By Prince George's County Ex-Pat
Wed, Dec 29, 2021 10:34 p.m.

Most of Vaccinated Die Because of Vax-Induced Autoimmune Attacks on Their Own Organs

By N.S.

Study: Most of Vaccinated Die Because of Vax-Induced Autoimmune Attacks on Their Own Organs

Police in Garland, Texas Allege that a 14-Year-Old hispanic, Still at Large, Committed Mass Murder

By A Texas Reader
Wed, Dec 29, 2021 5:25 p.m.

Police have named an alleged shooter in the killing of three teenagers at a convenience store in Garland, and authorities are still searching for the suspect, officials announced in a news release Wednesday. Police identified the suspect as 14-year-old Abel Elias Acosta and said Acosta should be considered armed and dangerous.

Detailed Article on French Politician Eric Zemmour and His Prospects

Eric Zemmour

By An Old Friend
Wed, Dec 29, 2021 1:50 p.m.

Detailed Article on Zemmour and His Prospects

AOF: The article below is lengthy ... and thoroughly worthwhile.  Some, not all, of the characterization of Trump strikes me as unfair.

Will Zemmour Bring a Right-Wing Revolution in France?

December 21, 2021by Philippe Lemoine

If you follow European politics even a little bit, you must have heard of Éric Zemmour, the former right-wing pundit who is running for president in France and who is now a serious contender for the second round of the election. Everyone thought the results of the April 2022 election were written in advance, with a second round between Macron and Le Pen, which the former would have won easily. But Zemmour's entry into the race and his rise in the polls suddenly made this campaign very interesting. Unless he collapses in the coming month, which I doubt, you're probably going to hear a lot more about him soon, so I figured that it might be useful to write a short post explaining who he is and what he wants and give some context that people not familiar with French politics might lack. I'm going to briefly present his background, platform, strengths and weaknesses and explain what his victory would entail and to what extent the comparisons people make with Trump are sensible. In the conclusion I will explain why his election would be a political earthquake in Europe.
Who is Éric Zemmour?
Éric Zemmour was born in 1958 to Jewish parents who had recently moved to France from Algeria, still a French colony at the time, but were French citizens since most Jews in Algeria had been granted citizenship in 1870. He was born in Montreuil near Paris, a city that is home to a large share of African and North-African immigrants, but despite what I often hear he is not himself an immigrant since he was born in France to French parents. However, it's true that he is not of European descent, so he is not a "Français de souche". He became a journalist in the 1980s and started covering national politics in 1996 for Le Figaro, France's main right-wing newspaper. Thus, over the years, he has met most French politicians and became friends with many of them. Most of them were conservative politicians, but not all of them. For instance, he is friends with Jean-Luc Mélenchon, the French far-left politician who even came to his birthday party a few years ago. During his career as a political journalist, he wrote biographies of Édouard Balladur and Jacques Chirac (the two most prominent right-wing politicians at the time), which although not bestsellers were favorably reviewed. Although he was well-known in political circles, the public did not discover him until the 2000s, when he became a regular on several TV shows and quickly became very popular for his abrasive style.
Although ideologically they are very different, during this period, he was a kind of Christopher Hitchens. He was no longer just a political journalist, but also and even mainly a cultural critic. In 2006, he wrote a book against the feminization of society — under the title The First Sex in reference to Simone de Beauvoir's famous book — which became a bestseller and horrified a lot of feminists. In that work, he explicitly defended the patriarchal model, something that was very controversial even in France and would be unimaginable in the US. He wrote several other bestsellers after that in which he revisited French history and denounced France's decline. He was fired several times from the TV shows and radio stations where he worked (where his left-wing colleagues signed petitions against him and pressured the bosses to get rid of him), but since he was very good for ratings, he would immediately be hired somewhere else. In 2011, he was found guilty of "incitement to racial hatred" by a court for saying that Blacks and Arabs were stopped by the police more often because "most [drug] traffickers are Black or Arab" (which is probably true), but this didn't do anything to make him less popular. He was convicted again in 2018 for "incitement toward religious hatred" against Muslims.
What's his platform?
According to various accounts, Zemmour started considering a political career a few years ago, before finally crossing the Rubicon a few months ago. Indeed, while he only made a formal announcement that he was running on November 30, he started preparing his campaign in the spring. The main theme of his campaign, overshadowing everything else, is the fight against immigration. He explicitly presents his bid for the presidency as the only way to prevent the Grand Remplacement ("Great Replacement"). According to him, unless France radically restricts immigration from North and sub-Saharan Africa (he says that we should aim for zero), people of non-European descent will eventually become the majority and the country will cease to be French culturally. While the first part is undoubtedly true and, in my opinion, the second is also correct, no French politician except Jean-Marie Le Pen had dared to say that before and it didn't have the same impact with him because he was totally radioactive. Even Marine Le Pen refused to use that expression because she was trying to make her party respectable and she thought it was too radical. While the idea of the "Great Replacement" make the sophisticates want to scream bloody murder, polls show that 2/3 of the French population think it's true, so it's not as if this idea is really controversial outside of the bubble in which most commentators live, but Zemmour managed to make it a major theme of the campaign, which is unprecedented.
It's not really surprising that Zemmour should run against the "Great Replacement", since he's been consistently anti-immigration and denouncing it for years in very strong terms. Indeed, as we have seen, it landed him in courts and caused him to lose his jobs on several occasions. Unlike many conservative politicians in both Europe and the US, Zemmour doesn't merely use anti-immigration rhetoric because it's popular among voters, he is a true believer. However, although he opposes immigration and despite what many people say, he doesn't have a racial conception of Frenchness, which indeed would be rather weird since he is of non-European descent. He thinks that anyone can be French, no matter their background, but that being French involves adopting French culture and not just having French citizenship. He often criticizes people who claim that, in order to be French, one just has to adhere to human rights and a few other abstract principles. But while he thinks that anyone can in theory be French, he believes that France, which has been unable to assimilate the non-European immigrants who are already here, won't be able to do so — let alone assimilate newcomers — if we don't stop immigration. Therefore, he doesn't attack only illegal immigration, but also and even mainly legal immigration. This includes asylum, which he wants to reduce to a few hundred people a year at most, citing Japan as his model because it only accepted 47 refugees in 2020.
Apart from immigration, Zemmour is a traditional conservative on most issues, but unlike most conservative politicians — who are far more liberal than their voters and say a lot of things they don't really mean to get their votes when they're running for office — there can be no doubt that he truly believes what he says, because he was already saying the same things before he decided to run for president. He is openly and stridently anti-woke, wants to remove what he calls "LGBT ideology" from schools and return to traditional pedagogy, increase the number of places in prison and the severity of sentences, etc. While in the past he has expressed somewhat heterodox views on economics, he is running on a very traditional French right-wing platform, pro-capitalism without being libertarian. His views on foreign policy are more original. He is openly a proponent of realpolitik and says that France should talk to everyone, including China and Russia. He is very critical of people who argue that we shouldn't negotiate with them because they violate human rights. Again, there is no doubt that he sincerely believes that, because this is something he's been saying for years. He also said that he thinks NATO should have been dismantled after the USSR collapsed, but has only proposed that France leave the organization's integrated command, not that it leave NATO altogether.
Is he the French Trump?
Many people compare Zemmour to Trump, both in the US and in France, which I think is right in some ways but misleading in others. There are certainly similarities between Zemmour and Trump. First, neither of them is a career politician and they both have used their media popularity as a launchpad for their political career. This makes sense, since unless you already have some name recognition, it's extremely difficult to make a dent in the polls when you don't have a political machine behind. They also have a similar communication strategy, consisting of being ubiquitous in the media, which is easy because although journalists are very hostile to them they are very good for ratings so they still cover them. They make politically incorrect statements that make the sophisticates clutch their pearls and for days that's all everyone hears about, which of course is exactly what they want, but journalists can't help it so it works every time. Another similarity is that, like Trump and unlike so many conservative politicians, Zemmour never backs down. When he says something that journalists consider outrageous, he doesn't apologize but doubles down, something that contributes a lot to his popularity among right-wing voters who are used to seeing conservative politicians grovel in front of the media every time they inadvertently say something that goes against the dominant opinion and also played a large role in Trump's success in 2016 according to me. However, Zemmour has a similar problem with women as Trump, something he'll have to solve if he is to have a chance:
Finally, while French presidential campaigns are much cheaper than in the US (expenditures are capped at 22 million euros by law), you still need money to have a chance and, like Trump in 2016, I have it on good authority that he is getting a lot of small donations, so I don't think money will be a problem despite what some people think.
However, despite those similarities, Zemmour is also very different from Trump in a number of ways. First, whereas Trump is a clown who has neither the taste nor the discipline to read a lot about the issues, Zemmour is a voracious reader and works hard to make up for his deficiencies in some domains such as economics. Trump had some ideological preferences, such as his opposition to immigration and foreign wars motivated by ideology, but he wasn't an ideologue and he spent his term in office hiring people who thought exactly the opposite as him, because in the end he didn't care much about the issues and personal relationships were much more important to him. In that respect, Zemmour is a completely different animal; he has deep ideological commitments and is highly unlikely to appoint anyone who isn't fully on board with his program. The socio-economic profile of their supporters is also different and reflects this difference in their personalities. Whereas Trump did particularly well among non-college educated voters, socio-economic category doesn't seem very predictive of voting intentions for Zemmour. This is also strikingly different from Le Pen and Macron, who do much better among non-college educated and college-educated voters, respectively. Similarly, age is not very predictive of voting intentions for Zemmour, whereas Le Pen does significantly better among prime age people and Macron overperforms among older people:
This difference between Trump and Zemmour in who they appeal to is also reflected in the profile of the people advising them. Intelligent people have tended to stay as far away from Trump as possible, so his advisers tended to be very stupid people, but Zemmour has attracted a lot of talent. Most people don't know them, because they mostly work in the shadows, but Zemmour is surrounded by a lot of people with a very unusual background for a candidate regarded as far-right. They tend to be young and come from the most prestigious schools in France. There are engineers, public servants, people in business, etc. Those profiles are very different from the crackpots Trump tended to surround himself with or, for that matter, from the people who advise Le Pen.
What is his strategy and does he have a chance?
Zemmour has been very explicit about his strategy, so we don't really have to guess, but in order to understand it you need to know a few things about French political history. Up until the 1980's, the French socialist party was a working-class movement. François Mitterrand, the first socialist to become president in France, was elected in 1981 on a platform that included the nationalization of many branches of industry. He actually implemented this platform after his election, but it was a disaster and he soon had to choose between his socialist economic policy and European integration, because continuing with this policy would have required that France leave the European Monetary System. In 1983, he chose the latter, but this decision created a serious political problem for him. Indeed, if the socialist party was no longer socialist on the economy, it needed something to mobilize voters against the right. The solution was to pivot from a party that was focused on improving the material conditions of the working class to a party that was focused on social issues and, in particular, on defending immigrants, who gradually replaced the working class in left-wing mythology. (Of course, I'm not saying it wouldn't have happened otherwise since left-wing parties in other Western countries underwent the same transformation, but it was particularly sharp in France.) Luckily for Mitterrand, at the same time, the National Front, Jean-Marie Le Pen's far-right party, was beginning to rise and its leader was the perfect bogeyman for the socialist party and its new platform.
At first, traditional right-wing leaders did not consider the National Front to be toxic and even made alliances with it occasionally in local elections, but as it turned out Mitterrand was really smart and traditional right-wing leaders were really stupid. Mitterrand very intelligently used his influence to simultaneously give more visibility to Le Pen by getting him invited on national television and also demonize him by supporting various anti-racist activist groups to make him a pariah by pretending that he was a fascist. Thus, while the National Front was rising and taking votes away from traditional right-wing parties, it was becoming increasingly difficult for them to make alliances because mainstream conservative politicians were afraid of the backlash from the media. Le Pen himself made that easier by making several very controversial statements and soon he was completely toxic. This gradually resulted in a division of the French right, with moderates and the conservative bourgeoisie voting mostly for traditional right-wing parties, while the National Front got more radical voters and, increasingly, working-class voters moving away from the communist party. Despite what many people in the US think, France is actually a deeply right-wing country in many ways, so the total vote in favor of the right is almost always greater than the total for the left, but this division of the right and the "cordon sanitaire" around the National Front nevertheless allowed the socialist party to sometimes win national election because the right couldn't unite.
This coup was a case of political genius on the part of Mitterrand and, for the past 30 years, it has plagued the French right and made it lose elections that it would otherwise have easily won. While this division of the right-wing electorate was initially pretty superficial, it eventually solidified because, to a large extent, people's ideology is driven by their partisan identity and not the other way around. Thus, the more time went by, the more difficult it became for the right to escape Mitterrand's curse by uniting. Nicolas Sarkozy understood this and his solution was to steal Le Pen's voters by adopting his platform while avoiding his excesses. Thus, he was able to unite the right without allying with the National Front, which allowed him to win the presidential election easily in 2007. But he quickly betrayed his promises and, under Marine Le Pen, the National Front — which recently became the National Rally — rose even higher than it had under her father. However, despite her efforts, it's still toxic enough that she can't possibly win the presidential election. Zemmour's theory is that he can unite the right around him by bringing together the conservative bourgeoisie that currently votes for traditional right-wing parties and the working class who vote for Le Pen. (Many people are surprised that his economic platform is not more "populist" and they think it's because he lacks imagination, but they just don't understand that he is doing that on purpose, because he doesn't want to scare the bourgeoisie.) At least, he is hoping that he can take enough voters on both sides to reach the second round of the presidential election, which unlike Le Pen he would have a chance of winning because — at least that's what he thinks — he is not as toxic as her.
Is he right? That's the million-dollar question. So far, he is doing worse in the polls than Le Pen when they test them against Macron in the second round, but I have a hard time believing that Zemmour could be as toxic as Le Pen after decades of nonstop demonizing of her family and I suspect that it will change as the campaign starts in earnest next year and people who don't follow politics closely get exposed to him. However, this won't matter if he doesn't make it to the second round, and while it's still unclear whether he will at this point he has been doing spectacularly well so far:
I can assure you that, if you had told anyone 6 months ago — including people in Zemmour's campaign — that he'd be at 12%-15% in the polls in December, no one would have believed you. Some people think that he is going to crash in the next few weeks, but while it's possible, I doubt it's going to happen because he now seems to have a solid base of people who tell pollsters they are sure to vote for him. (Only Le Pen and Macron do better than him in that respect.) It's true that after rising incredibly fast in the polls, he started going down about a month ago, but it looks as though he managed to stop the fall. The first round of the election will be decided by the people who hesitate between Zemmour, Le Pen and Pécresse, the candidate of the Republicans, the traditional right-wing party, who recently had a jump in the polls after she won the nomination. However, I personally think Pécresse is going to fall in the polls next year because she is basically a female version of Macron and people will prefer the original to the copy, so that it will be between Le Pen and Zemmour.
Whether Zemmour can make it to the second round will depend on a few things. First, as I noted above, Zemmour has a similar problem with women as Trump, but it's actually a bigger problem for him. Indeed, in the case of Trump, it was compensated by the fact that he was running in a two-party system, so with polarization many women who wouldn't have voted for Trump otherwise ended up voting for him anyway because he wasn't a Democrat. In France, right-wing women have other options (Pécresse and Le Pen), so Zemmour will have to improve his image among women if he wants to have a chance. He will also need to do better among non-college educated voters. On this point, the optimistic hypothesis for Zemmour is that, because they don't follow politics closely, those voters have not been exposed much to his message yet, so that for the moment they just say they intend to vote for Le Pen because they are more familiar with her. However, if that's the explanation for why Le Pen is doing so much better than him among non-college educated voters, it's likely that when the campaign starts in earnest next year and even people who don't follow politics very closely get exposed to his message, Zemmour will make gains at Le Pen's expense in that group. Indeed, it's clear that Le Pen and Zemmour are to a large extent competing for the same voters, since people who say they intend to vote for one are much more likely to cite the other as their second choice than any other candidate. However, it's also possible that non-college educated voters just dislike Zemmour's more intellectual style, in which case this will not happen and it will be difficult for him to reach the second round. Of course, even if he does, he'd still have to convince enough people that he isn't an extremist and that he is ready to govern to win against Macron. Right now, if I had to bet, I'd say that Zemmour's chances of reaching the second round are about 50% and that conditional on making it to the second round his probability of winning is around 30%. This implies a 15% probability that he will be the next president of France, which is pretty close to what betting markets are saying.
There is still a pretty high probability that Zemmour won't even make it to the second round of the presidential election and, even if he does, Macron remains the overwhelming favorite. However, while it's still unlikely, I think the hypothesis that Zemmour will be the next president of France is higher than most people realize. If what I said above is right, it's about 15%, which is low but not so low that it can be totally ignored. Moreover, even if he won, he would still have to defeat the French "Deep State". This won't be easy, but Zemmour is better equipped than Trump was to do it, because as I noted above he has a much better understanding of the issues and has access to more people who are qualified to fill his administration. If he somehow managed to do all that, however, I think it would change a lot of things, not just in France but in Europe. In particular, the ideological balance of power in the EU would be deeply transformed, because it's one thing if a small country like Hungary is governed by a "populist" government but it's quite another if it's the second-largest country in the Union and the only one with a permanent seat on the UN Security Council.
Anti-immigration sentiment has been rising in Europe for several years and even left-wing governments have had to adopt a more restrictionist stance under pressure from public opinion. Zemmour's platform on immigration would necessarily result in a showdown with the EU. Most people seem to think that he would have to back down, but in my opinion they are completely delusional. Public opinion in Europe is overwhelmingly on Zemmour's side on immigration and France leaving the EU would be the end of the Union, something people in Brussels are well aware of, so I think that, as soon as they realize that he is committed to getting what he wants on that issue, they would bend the knee. Of course, for that to happen, Zemmour would have to win first, but this is why you should follow the presidential race closely next year. The stakes have never been so high and, despite what everyone thought a few months ago, it should be very interesting.