Wednesday, November 4, 2020 at 9:14:00 A.M. EST
GRA:
l’ll summarize this morning by saying, last night’s election wasn’t like election nights of years past. With the early voting, absentee voters and regular day voters, plus each state’s rules of when each group gets counted (in what order), you needed a program to keep up with it all.
What seemed like an early morning, celebratory Trumpian high, with big leads in Michigan and Pennsylvania and a decent lead in Wisconsin, has become the worst kind of next day hangover for President Trump—and he doesn’t drink.
Arizona doesn’t count its in-person precinct voting until AFTER the early votes are counted. As of this morning, WITH 82% of the vote tabulated, Trump has cut a 10-point lead at 2 a.m., to 5 right now. He COULD still win Arizona, but it probably won’t matter.
Michigan and Pennsylvania are just the opposite—they count November third’s votes first (mostly Republican) and early votes starting Wednesday (mostly Dems).
The key to victory is to build a margin of separation which will survive the secondary voting.
At 2 a.m., Trump lead in Michigan was 9 points; this morning the lead is 1%—with many early ballots to be counted (mostly Dem.).
What a mess—and Trump is not in a leading position to win, but he IS in A position to win. This is why the Trump campaign sued the Pennsylvania counting process six times—to stop early ballots from being counted, post November 3rd.
So to sum up, Rendon thinks early voters will make up the difference that Trump enjoys in the Keystone State. Biden is ahead in Wisconsin this morning, and the oddsmakers have Biden back at a 75% chance of winning.
I said Trump would not carry Michigan or Pennsylvania. Unfortunately, I may be right.
--GRA
By Grand Rapids Anonymous
Wednesday, November 4, 2020 at 9:51:00 A.M. EST
By the way, the stock market predictor was correct again.
--GRA
7 comments:
Yep, these big blue ghettos always wait to see how many votes they need to "find" to dump a day later and steal the election. Even assuming these votes are legitimate, American's must shake their head and wonder why they allow incompetents who can't get the darn count in on time like everyone else to influence their future. You consistently show up late for a job do you get to keep it?
Om the bright side, to use an old expression, the Republicans gained some House seats and will apparently hang on to the Senate. This (hopefully) will stop packing the Supreme Court.
And the scenario for a Trump loss that is playing out will lead to heavy opposition to the incoming regime. And the left was going to get back in eventually anyway.
Yep, Michagan is like Illinois, you look at all these small cities of 30-50,000 out in the middle of nowhere on the Rand MacNalley Map and expect them to be Normal Rockwell towns like Bedford Falls, but when you drive through you find out they are actually huge black ghettos. How on Earth did all these blacks end up in a place like Benton Harbor MI or Danville IL? This isn't the cotton belt?
You know a great point,is why are all the early votes,being counted now, so slanted toward Democrats?Common sense would dictate a fairly even split of both Dems AND GOP voting in abstentia.My mom voted for Trump that way.
Now we're supposed to swallow the theory that no Republicans voted early.
I don't buy what the Dems are selling,but you can bet the Supreme Court rule against Trump in any challenge.
-GRA
92% counted in Michigan
Biden's lead grows to 32,000.
--GRA
Note 137,000 new ballots mysteriously found in Michigan--all for Biden--zero for Trump. They might as well have signed it "cheaters." That is how the DemonRats do it in Washington State: if a Republican wins, they mysteriously keep finding boxes of DemonRat ballots until the DemonRat wins. These people are totally corrupt--the end justifies the means for them. Some are outright communists--others are simply power=hungry crooks. All are pure EVIL.
How NBC explained it--if Trump wins Pennsylvania and Georgia--he needs Nevada to win re-election.Otherwise,six electoral votes short.
--GRA
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