By Grand Rapids Anonymous
sunday, november 3, 2024 at 8:43:00 a.m. edt
“(Breitbart) former [sic] President Donald Trump is poised to secure a significant electoral victory, potentially ‘sweeping battleground states,’ according to Rasmussen’s head pollster, who sees the current race favoring Trump in the national popular vote, suggesting a larger ‘political realignment’ is underway, and foreseeing an outcome that could echo — or even exceed — Ronald Reagan’s historic landslide win over Jimmy Carter in 1980.
“in a striking forecast days before the 2024 presidential election, Rasmussen’s head pollster, Mark Mitchell, is suggesting that Donald Trump will secure a strong lead nationally and dominate in key battleground states, positioning him for a sweeping victory. Mitchell even foresees a potential flip of Virginia and new hampshire, adding that other states, like minnesota or new mexico, might follow suit.
“‘what you’re hearing out there is that the polls are close, and I think that’s wrong,’ he told Breitbart news in an exclusive interview on friday, adding, ‘I think the polls on average show a strong Trump win, and my polls taken independently show that as well.’”
--GRA
By Grand Rapids Anonymous
sunday, november 3, 2024 at 1:15:00 p.m. edt
Interesting that Rasmussen is so optimistic for President Trump, because their own numbers in Pennsylvania and nevada show low White support, compared to four years ago. north Carolina, at 60 some percent, is better. Every poll is different, with some, completely out of whack—either pro-Trump or pro-harris—by wide margins. Are the pollsters intentionally lying, like their media masters do?
Wouldn’t surprise me one bit.
--GRA
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LAST BIT OF ANALYSIS BEFORE THE ELECTION:"THE POLLSTERS HAVE NO CLUE WHO'S GOING TO WIN."
GRA:Yesterday,I wrote the same thing. Today,this article appeared.
(ZH)Election day looms and market pricing has tightened substantially for Kamala Harris. Prediction markets which had recorded leads of more than 30pts for Donald Trump this time last week now have that lead down to single digits. In the case of PredictIt, Kamala Harris is now narrowly favoured to win, although on Polymarket Trump's lead has returned.
On top of the dramatic tightening in prediction markets, we have also seen some curious polling results in the final days of the campaign. A NYT/Sienna poll found Vice President Harris leading in North Carolina and Georgia, while Donald Trump closed the gap in Pennsylvania and remained well ahead in Arizona. AtlasIntel found that Donald Trump leads in every swing state, including Georgia and North Carolina, and Rasmussen found that Trump has a 3-point lead in their national polling! Meanwhile, Ann Selzer published a poll showing Kamala Harris leading 47-44 in Iowa, which raised plenty of eyebrows given the state’s reputation as a Republican stronghold and Selzer’s strong reputation for the accuracy of her predictions.
Given the variability and contradictory nature of the polling lately,maybe we should adopt the stance of Nate Silver who said,"It appears no one really knows who's going to win--and in what manner.A squeaker--or a blowout."
GRA:I'll leave it at that,but President Trump has his work cut out for him.
--GRA
"predicts huuuge Trump electoral win" - Wow! Yessirree, we saved America with help from RFKjr and Tulsi and the Mayor of Hamtramck. Melania has ordered commemorative Justice Scalia edition MyPillows for the Lincoln Bedroom. And CNN cameras will be there to cover the big MAGA jailbreak from Cellblock J6. Haven't been this excited since the Red Wave of the 2022 midterms and MTG's Mayorkas impeachment project.
James Howard Kunstler, "Escape from Psychopathocracy": "One way or another, looks like we’re in for a hard, anxious winter. Threats galore loom concerning possible blob / Party of Chaos mischief ahead, designed to disorder our national life: false flags prompting the imposition of martial law. . . aggressive censorship and cancellation of free-speaking regime opponents. . . deployment of Antifa mobs against civil order, with violence, looting, arson. This symbiotic enemy of the people is desperate to evade accountability for the crimes they’ve already committed as officials running institutions: abuse of power, conspiracy to deprive many citizens of their civil rights, perhaps even treason. They’re capable of anything. They must be defeated." - <a href="https://jameshowardkunstler.substack.com/p/escape-from-psychopathocracy?publication_id=2076970&post_id=151155159&isFreemail=true&r=z1omi&triedRedirect=true>Full article.</a>"
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