By Prince George's County Ex-Pat
friday, april 11, 2025 at 11:07:31 p.m. edt
https://www.infowars.com/posts/exclusive-analysis-respected-economic-forecaster-edward-dowd-predicts-a-reagan-era-boom-after-trumps-tariffs-other-policies-take-full-effect
"Dowd was the one who analyzed life insurance companies' death data, and realized that something was amiss."
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3 comments:
The guy I keep track of(who correctly predicted this drop, months ago,in the SPX to 5000)thinks we're in for a 20 year bear market. It may have started or not,but it's coming soon and it will be a doozy. I'll keep you updated if anything changes. By the way,he thinks gold is about ready to fall too. Gold should be peaking very soon.
FWIW.
--GRA
TRUMP EXCLUDES COMPUTERS,HANDSETS AND CHIPS FROM RECIPROCAL TARIFFS
Analysis(ZH):"Will lead to further gains in tech stocks(Apple,Nvidia etc)on Monday."
GRA:Supposedly Liberace(Bessent) is tweaking the Tariff games to prevent stock Armageddon.
--GRA
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BILLIONAIRE INVESTOR RAY DALIO IS AFRAID SOMETHING WORSE THAN A RECESSION,THIS WAY COMES
(ZH)Billionaire investor Ray Dalio warned that President Trump’s shifting tariff policy is part of a broader set of economic and geopolitical pressures that could trigger a crisis "worse than a recession."
“I think that right now we are at a decision-making point and very close to a recession,” Dalio said.
“And I’m worried about something worse than a recession if this isn’t handled well.”
The founder of the world's largest hedge fund, Bridgewater Associates, said in an interview with NBC’s Meet the Press that the foundation of the American economy - the "monetary order" — is under threat.
"We have a breaking down of the monetary order. We are going to change the monetary order because we cannot spend the amounts of money. So we have that problem.
...We are having profound changes in our domestic order, how ruling is existing. And we're having profound changes in the world order. Such times are very much like the 1930s."
"I've studied history," Dalio adds, noting that "this repeats over and over again."
Dalio explained that the US economy is confronting several overlapping challenges: rising debt, internal political divisions, growing geopolitical tensions, and shifts in global power.
“Such times are very much like the 1930s,” he warned.
“If you take tariffs, if you take debt, if you take the rising power challenging the existing power – those changes in the orders, the systems, are very, very disruptive.”
Asked about the worst-case scenario, Dalio pointed to a potential breakdown of the dollar’s role as a store of wealth, combined with internal conflict beyond the norms of democratic politics and escalating international tensions – potentially even military conflict.
“These breakdowns have occurred before,” he said. “The existing monetary and geopolitical order began in 1945. These systems go in cycles, and I worry about the breakdown—particularly because it doesn’t have to happen.”
“That could be like the breakdown of the monetary system in ‘71. It could be like 2008. It’s going to be very severe,” Dalio said.
“I think it could be more severe than those if these other matters simultaneously occur.”
GRA:It depends if all those "elite" billionaires sell their stocks at once to force a crash to cause panic and social upheaval(worse than it is now,by far).
One very respected(by me) prognosticator I've followed for years says "we're going down to 3,000 S&P--buy there."
Another one--very long term bearish--is "unsure if the collapse begins in the next couple months" or not,"but it will happen."
Stay tuned.
--GRA
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