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Monday, July 03, 2017

Study Proves that Whites Must Drastically Increase Their Proportion of Murders in America, Both Nationally and on a Neighborhood-by-Neighborhood Basis, in Order to Eliminate “Murder Inequality”

 

This huge photo adorned the top of the "study" below. Note, however, that there was identifying information regarding the shrine's date, location, or the victim to whom it was dedicated, though it was presumably a young child.
 

[Previously, at WEJB/NSU:

“Scholar (Jason Richwine) Blasts Myth of Underfunded Minority Schools”; and

“Come Home, Jason Richwine, All is Forgiven: Black-Dominated DC Public Schools Spend $29,349 Per Pupil (the Most in the Nation), but Only 17% are Proficient in Reading.”]


By Nicholas Stix

The study below doesn’t explicitly say that whites must vastly increase their number of murders, but its author, Daniel Kay Hertz, does say that “murder inequality” is the [crime] “Metric That Matters Most.”

If that is true, then there are only two ways to eliminate this form of inequality: Either whites must drastically increase their proportion of murders, or blacks must drastically decrease their proportion of murders. Since Hertz never comes close to suggesting that blacks curb their homicidal behavior, that leaves but one option, which I named in my title.

Hertz reproduced a bunch of graphics that he insists prove his point. One may have to hit the link, in order to see his proof.

“In 2015, there were 4.1 homicides per 100,000 New Yorkers, and 17.3 per 100,000 Chicagoans.”

Postscript, 5:08 p.m.: The title of the "study" speaks of a "debate." In case the reader suspects that I censored that passage, I did no such thing. The only part missing is a table on "Murder Inequality in New York City, 2015," which I could neither copy off the page, nor find at Google Images.

There is no debate below, except for what I added.

Among black supremacists and racial socialists, "debate" is a deliberately misleading term, which is used in order to make the reader believe that a work is comprehensive and impartial. For instance, The Real Ebonics Debate: Power, Language, and the Education of African-American Children (1998) contains over 30 entries, but no debate. Every single entry supports so-called Ebonics.


The Debate Over Crime Rates is Ignoring the Metric that Matters Most: “Murder Inequality”
Focusing on the neighborhood level is the best way to understand violence in America. Here are six charts that prove it.
By Daniel Kay Hertz @DanielKayHertz
July 25, 2016
The Trace

Throughout the 2016 presidential campaign, Donald Trump has made the case for fearfulness, from violence of both foreign and domestic origin. At his acceptance speech at the Republican National Convention on Thursday, Trump declared that “decades of progress made in bringing down crime are now being reversed.”

Earlier in the week, former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani described an America under siege, from terrorists, from criminals, and even from protesters. “The vast majority of Americans today do not feel safe,” he said.

Yet despite a torrent of horrific, high-profile events, including a rampage at a gay nightclub and deadly ambushes of police officers in two cities, crime stats clearly show that the “vast majority” of Americans are, in fact, far safer than two decades ago.

In 2014, the most recent year for which full data is available, one third as many people reported being a victim of a violent crime as did in 1994, according to a Justice Department crime survey. Less than half as many were murdered.

National rates, however, are also not the best way to understand the risk of crime to typical Americans — partly because they imply that there is such a thing as a “typical American.” In the U.S. in 2016, the relative level of public safety very much depends on where you live, how much money you make, and the color of your skin. A proper understanding of violent crime requires looking at neighborhood rates, which reveal a terrible murder inequality.

[They imply no such thing. They are merely statistical averages. As such, they are of value to the degree that their inputs are legitimate: “GIGO; garbage in, garbage out.” Only an imbecile would suggest that crime rates were uniform. Thus, Hertz is invoking a straw man. That different neighborhoods have rsadically different murder rates is also not news. People avoid black neighborhoods like the plague, precisely because they don’t want to be robbed, raped, maimed or murdered. But they dare not say because people like Daniel Kay Hertz would then vilify them as “racists,” and destroy their lives. So, they hide behind euphemisms like “good schools.”]

As Trump noted in his speech, in many major U.S. cities, violent crime increased last year. The candidate’s rhetoric omitted the fact that rates were down in other cities, and criminologists caution against drawing broad conclusions from single year movements. But the increases in places like Baltimore, Washington, D.C., and Houston have been dramatic enough to spark urgent civic conversations and draw the interest of national publications (including this one) seeking answers behind the violence.

Chicago, where I live, is another one of those cities where violent crime, especially gun violence, is sharply up over the last year. While there are mixed feelings here about the attention our violent crime wave has received — and questions about whether that attention helps or just sensationalizes — the attention may represent a welcome shift from coverage that too often focuses on the sensational.
Pushing the spotlight on gun violence in the direction of the cities where most shootings take place is a positive step. Even so, we won’t really understand the issue until we go one step further.

America has an urban gun violence problem only inasmuch as some of its urban neighborhoods are beset by persistent, truly epidemic shooting rates. Those local shooting rates, in turn, yield a disparity in mortality risks that should shock the national conscience.

[“Epidemic” is a medical term. Blacks’ murderous violence is not due to any medical condition. It is due to evil. As for the “national conscience,” which is racial code phrase for ‘white people,” since blacks do not care about their own relatively astronomical murder rate, why should whites care about it? Especially, since anything constructive whites say about the matter will result in their being vilified and ruined by people Daniel Kay Hertz?]

To understand why all that is true, let’s start with a seemingly straightforward question:

Are you more likely to be shot in Chicago or New York?

At a city level, there’s an easy answer. New York has fought back from a violent recent past to become among the safest big cities in the Western world; Chicago, as previously discussed, has made national and even international headlines for persistently high levels of gun crime. The difference can be boiled down to stark numbers: In 2015, there were 4.1 homicides per 100,000 New Yorkers, and 17.3 per 100,000 Chicagoans. But those averages obscure a crucial fact: Just like income, education, and other metrics of social advantage, violent gun crime varies even more within American cities than between them.

[Maintaining that there is more variation within than between X is a racial socialist rhetorical obsession that goes back to the assertion by communist Richard Lewontin that there is more variation within a racial group than between groups. The foregoing claim is known as “Lewontin’s Fallacy.”

Whether Hertz used that rhetorical strategy because he is an obsessive compulsive, or as a signal to political allies, which would hardly be necessary within a rant that has the phrase “Murder Inequality” in its title, I do not know. I suppose both possibilities could be operative.]

There are dozens of neighborhoods in both New York and Chicago where the homicide rate is near zero. There are also neighborhoods (many more in Chicago than in New York) where the homicide rate is much higher than the average.

[Only “dozens”? Sixty years ago, there were hundreds of neighborhoods in those two cities, in which the homicide rate was not “near zero,” but zero!]

In Brownsville, Brooklyn, the murder rate in 2015 was 16 per 100,000, or about four times the New York rate. That rate is similar to a bevy of Chicago neighborhoods, including Douglas, South Lawndale, and West Elsdon.
 

 

But in Chicago a murder rate of 16 is just below average.

Both New York and Chicago have safe and not-as-safe neighborhoods. Chicago’s homicide rate is so much higher than New York’s not simply because there are more high-crime neighborhoods in Chicago, but because Chicago’s high-crime neighborhoods are many times more violent than not-safe neighborhoods in New York. In two Chicago neighborhoods, Burnside and Fuller Park, the homicide rate eclipsed 100 per 100,000 residents last year, more than five times the Chicago average, and more than 25 times the typical New York neighborhood.
 

 

As with income and access to education, vast inequality is one of the most important features of American violent crime. That’s especially true because, again following the pattern of other kinds of advantage, relatively safe neighborhoods tend to cluster with other safe neighborhoods, and more violent neighborhoods with other violent neighborhoods, making it more likely that people spend much of their time in places that experience either far less, or far more, violent gun crime than their city’s overall numbers would suggest.
 

 

[“As with income and access to education, vast inequality is one of the most important features of American violent crime.”

In America, “access to education” is universal. Indeed, as Jason Richwine and others (e.g., Pat Buchanan) have proven, black-dominated public schools tend to be vastly better-funded than white-dominated schools. Thus, there is an issue with access to education, but it is the access of poor, lower-middle, and middle-middle-class whites to predominantly white public schools, and highly selective colleges.]

In Chicago, as in other cities where homicides are rising, one side of the divide is represented by communities that can nonetheless go a year, or years, without a fatal shooting. [This is not a matter of natural science, like lightning. English translation: There are overwhelmingly white and/or Asian neighborhoods, in which nobody shoots anyone to death for a year or years at a time.] The other is comprised of neighborhoods that suffer violent crime at several times the pace of their city’s average rate — even where the city’s average is already alarmingly high. [Such neighborhoods do not “suffer violent crime at several times the pace of their city’s average rate” at all; rather, they commit violent crime at several times the pace of their city’s average rate.]

If East Garfield Park were an “average” neighborhood in Chicago, for instance, it would have had about three homicides last year among its 20,000 residents. Instead, it had 15.

[Well, it’s black. Blacks support and commit astronomical rates of murder.]

Such disparities also belie the impression given by city rates that make a place, like New York, seem safer than others. [No, they don’t. he’s just bringing back his straw man.] Let’s look at Brownsville again: If the police precinct that includes the neighborhood were typical of New York, it also might have seen about three murders among its 86,000 residents; instead there were 14.

[Brownsville has been black, racist, and ultra-violent for generations.]

Turn to other cities, and the pattern holds. In 2014 (the most recent year available), Washington, D.C.’s homicide rate was nearly identical to Chicago’s, at 17.4 per 100,000 residents. But few of the city’s seven police districts look anything like that average: Their murder rates range from 1.1 in the Northeast’s First District, to 41.5 in Anacostia’s Seventh District.

[I tis not news that Anacostia is predominantly black, and the most racist and violent area in D.C.]

The homicide rate in Milwaukee in 2015 was 23 per 100,000. But like with other cities, the average doesn’t say much about the relative risk of murder for most residents of the city. In the police district that includes downtown, the homicide rate was just two. In the bordering district to the north of downtown, the murder rate was 55, or 22.5 times as high.
 

 

From this perspective, America’s gun violence problem belongs to an archipelago of neighborhoods found in most metropolitan areas in the country, from New Orleans to Minneapolis, and from Los Angeles to Philadelphia.

[America doesn’t have “a gun violence problem,” it has a black-and-Hispanic violence problem.]

Here it’s crucial to note that research strongly suggests that the likelihood of victimization by violent crime isn’t evenly distributed within violent neighborhoods, either: Yale professor Andrew Papachristos has found that being part of particular social networks can increase your chance of being the victim of a homicide by up to 900 percent above an already-high neighborhood average.

[Yeah, being a criminal does that.]

High levels of gun crime profoundly affect neighborhood residents whether or not they are a direct victim. Witnessing a shooting, or having a friend or loved one become a victim, can be deeply traumatic, leading to depression, anxiety, difficulty concentrating at school or work, and other issues. High crime rates can affect whether businesses are willing to locate near your home, reducing your access to important services like banking, and contributing to depopulation and abandonment. (In at least one case, violent crime convinced an urgent care clinic in North St. Louis to remain closed during on weekends.)

[The clinic’s greedy, Indian owner, Dr. Sonny Sagar, is a pc pompous ass who was posturing, because he wants the taxpayer to pay for his clinics.]


Nor are neighborhoods facing these issues randomly distributed: They are much more likely to be home to disproportionate numbers of people with low incomes and people who are black or brown. That racial and economic segregation play an important role in perpetuating deep social inequalities has been well-established. Directly and indirectly, violent crime is itself a crucial part of the basket of disadvantages that make living in a segregated neighborhood so costly.

[English translation: The shooters are overwhelmingly black and brown. In New York City, 90% of shootings are by blacks and Hispanics, even though they are only about half of city residents. “… has been well-established.” That’s a bald-faced lie. The lie has been repeated ad nauseam, and those supporting it will destroy the life of anyone challenging it in the antiversity or the media, but that has nothing to do with it being established, except in the sense of an established dogma.]

A paradox of teasing out neighborhood-level crime numbers is that they make the differences between high- and low-crime cities more meaningful. [What’s the “paradox”?] High-crime neighborhoods in New York, Washington, D.C., and especially Chicago are significantly more dangerous than their surrounding cities.

Understanding this nuance [the phrase “nuance” has been a racial-socialist political signal since the 2004 presidential campaign] perhaps could allow the public debate over crime policy and gun control to progress in a more constructive way. Polls show that even as the vast majority of Americans support basic measures like universal background checks, they don’t believe they will be effective in reducing shootings. With a better handle on the geographic contours of the problem, perhaps strategies oriented towards fixing the public safety crisis in these particular neighborhoods — like hot-spot policing — can take a more prominent place.

[Where did “gun control” come from? It is a rule of writing that one does not introduce a notion in one’s conclusion. “Hot-spot policing”— which Hertz also just introduced in his conclusion – is a non-starter. Black supporters of violent denounced such policing strategies as “racist,” because they blanket black neighborhoods, rather than blanketing white ones, which racial socialists and black supremacists tell us are full of white criminals whom the police give carte blanche.]

7 comments:

Anonymous said...

" Only 17% are Proficient in Reading.”. Students in the DC public school system.

That that 17 % don't think they are reading by at a high level of proficiency. In some locales proficient means at least 50 % at level.

Anonymous said...

"Polls show that even as the vast majority of Americans support basic measures like universal background checks, they don’t believe they will be effective in reducing shootings"

And is exactly the case too. Persons that have the intention of using a firearm for criminal purposes could hardly be bothered with filling out forms, undergoing background check, etc.

Only the honest dude does that.

Anonymous said...

"High-crime neighborhoods in New York, Washington, D.C., and especially Chicago are significantly more dangerous than their surrounding cities"


St. Joseph Michigan [30,000 persons] and Benton harbor Michigan [10,000 persons] the perfect example. The two cities separated by a river. St. Joe almost all whitey and Benton almost all black. For St. Joe one murder in ten years. For Benton 140 murders in that same ten year period. Do the math and the results are astounding.

Anonymous said...

"that being part of particular social networks can increase your chance of being the victim of a homicide by up to 900 percent above an already-high neighborhood average."


Social network as meaning STREET GANG DEALING DRUGS!!

Anonymous said...

"America doesn’t have 'a gun violence problem,' it has a black-and-Hispanic violence problem"


Correct. The rate of gun crime in USA if you count just whitey is about the same as the rate of gun crime in Belgium. It is only when mix in the colored and the Mex that the rate of gun crime goes up dramatically. I guess we have to count the colored the Mex??

Anonymous said...

"New York has fought back from a violent recent past to become among the safest big cities in the Western world"

And it all began with Rudy. Before Rudy about 2,500 murders every year in NYC. After Rudy and since then about 500 murder per year. NO ONE ever thought such a thing possible. But it has been so. And it does show what can be done if the will is there. Bravo Rudy.

Anonymous said...

Interesting article..some cops in Chicago,refer to murders as "Rahmicide"!